Featured

Put Options On The High Flying Stock "Sandisk" Are Difficult To Play

I have ignored this stock all year, not knowing much about it. The stock is Sandisk and it doesn't pay a dividend. Sometimes I think that the stock has gone up to much in price to quickly. Is trying to play it for the downside with one week Put options the way to go? Why try and play Puts on a stock that never seems to go down? Why not just ride the Calls up? The stock is up $52.00 on the day. At noon on a Monday here is what one series of it's "just-in-the-money" Puts look like. Do these premiums seem to be abnormally high? Yes. $59.00 dollars means $5,900.00 dollars per contract. If you are new to option trading stay away from these ones. Other stocks trading in this price range like Costco have options on them trading at much lower prices. Here is an example of what I am talking about. If we look back at a blog I did last week on Caterpillar you will see how much of the time premuim built into the pricing on these "one-week-to-expiring-options" decreas...
Post a Comment

Day Trading Costco On A Early Monday Afternoon - And Then Following The Action For The Rest of The Week.

The options on Costco that I am about to show you don't expire until the end of the week and here is the current one day chart on Costco. It's a Monday. What do you think of this chart? Will it go up or down next? Nobody knows.
Here is what the DJIA is doing?
Is the stock now hitting a point of resistance? Once again, it's really to early in the week to tell.
There is an "open interest" Put number from the previous session of only five contracts. Traders as of the close last Friday had no real interest in playing it down. Recent history of course tells us not to buy Puts on Costco. Why try to go against an upward trend? Why then does this chart catch my attention? It's the leverage I know the options on this stock offers. Stocks in this price range can drop five or ten dollars in only a matter of an hour and the week still still has 29 hours of trading time to go. Could buying in here now on the downside be a good short term trade? That's the question. Here is a printout of the action at 1:21 p.m.
The Put options have dropped from $775.00 to $550.00. in just over 30 minutes. The stock is up over $12.00 on the day. Why try to fight it? Can you see how dangerous this game can be? What ended up happening to these Puts at the close? Here is the answer and a look at the one day chart.
If we look at the open interest tomorrow we will be able to sell how many traders got in and out.
One takeawy. A five dollar move on a stock in the $800.00 plus price range doesn't mean a stock is going to stop there. Now the same Costco Puts trading on Tuesday morning. The open interest now is 156 meaning about half the contracts that where opened yesterday were closed out, presumably at a lost. They are not particularly desirable contracts to be holding.
Now this. The markets were closed for some reason on Wednesday June 19th. These options now only have two days trading life in them. Next. Thursday, what a chart.
Now the famous Puts we are watching. Notice they traded down to a low of $1.45 in the morning.
At 10:00 a.m. they jumped up to $9.79. Here is how they finished off the week. They went up even higher as Costco was down over $14.00 on the day.
Pay attention to this triple witching concept the next time around.**Costco traded down $7.36 on the week. He is it's five day chart which actually included the Friday of one week ago because we just finished a four day trading week.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Waiting For A Drop On The Opening On Bad News - Eli Lilly

Image
Here is the bad news. The company is Eli Lilly. How bad is this news? Well look at it trading in the premarkets. So what do I think? I think the news is a setback of sorts, but not really all that bad. The stock is going to open lower, that's a given. It's like trying to play Boeing after an announcement that an airplane has crashed. So the stock is going to crash and it might have a small rebound and then it's going to slide down some more. A test of sorts will happen sometime in the afternoon. It might stock falling but then where will it go from there? The best case scenario is a recognition that investors got it all wrong and the stock ends up flat on the day. Yet there might be more of a downward dumping of the stock on the close followed by a selloff on tomorrows opening. Should option players be jumping in to play the upside on next week's Calls? That is the question. Here is a look at Boeing on the days after a crash. Day two after the crash was equally as ...
Read more

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more

News on Polestar , Lucid (Trading After A Reverse Stock Split) Plus Ford News And Vinfast

Image
Look at the one year chart on Polester. Now it's one month chart. What's going on? It's confusing. It was down $.36 cents on the week. If you want you can spend $.20 or $.25 on Puts and hope that the company goes under in the next five or six months. They recently raised more money by releasing more shares so it's running out of options. You can't run at a loss forever and this news will most likely scare off potential new car buyers. This actually is a low number of outstanding Put options. The consensus seems to be that it is not game over yet. Lucid started trading this week on a "one-for-ten" reverse stock split. Here is its one week chart. It was down $1.39 on the week. It's also going to struggle. Both of these stocks have challenges ahead. On a more positive note here is a chart that looks kind of perky. Ford on the week. The stock was down $.03 cents on the week and it was the 3th highest in share volume trading on the NYSE. It appears...
Read more