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"Tony The Tiger" - A Food Stock

The mood of Wall Street is now changing as the reality of tariffs is starting to kick in. Two weeks ago not so much so. Kelloggs had "so-so" earnings come out a few weeks ago and the stock exploded upwards. Note the very last line above mentions the effects of tariffs are not taken into consideration. So many stocks with "so-so" earning reports have jumped in price based on the "lets make America great again" slogan. Deere stock is shooting to the moon as I keep writing about in spite of declining sales in the last quarter. The sentiment seems to be that they are immune to tariffs. On paper they might be. Read this. Americans are struggling to buy gas, eggs and insurance. Total housing starts in the U.S.in 2024 were down 3.9%. Walmart, the recent darling stock in the last four weeks for Call option players woke up this morning with an earnings report which was healthy but with came with some caveats. Here is what happened. Perhaps the U.S. is starting ...
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Ford Down Seven Cents On The Day Going Into The Closing

Is this an opportunity? Ford nearing the close on a Wedesday with Call options on it that expire in two days. First the five day and then the one day chart.
Now look at how the twelve series of Calls traded today towards the end of the day.
Now a different look at the same thing.
Note they closed the day before at $.23 cents and hit a high of $.39 cents. That was a trade in itself. Now what? Well the chart looks kind of ugly as it has not tested it's previous lows so jumping in to play the short term reversing upwards looks like a scary proposition. That plus buying into options that expire in two days often quickly lose half of their value if the stock ever decides to go sideways for a day. Most option traders overlook the potential of succeessfully of trading Ford options. Let's see how this situation plays itself out. I have talked about situation just like this several times before. One other note. Ford sales were up 7% last month, then to be revised to being up 11.2%. Is that a trend we can expect to see going forward? Probably. Here also are how other auto stocks traded on the day. It was a mixed day.
** What do I find unusual? The open interest number versus the number of contracts traded on the day. It tells us that not many option players are trying to daytrade it. Many option holders are stuck in them at higher prices. It's trading patterns are fickle. So many option traders pile into Tesla instead and hope for $5.00 or $10.00 price swings. That's a different game. One more topic is the topic of Ford Calls one week out. Do you need that much time? Not really. Yet think of the downward pressure that the next week out 12.5 series of Calls have indured. Here they are.
Look at the interest that they are attracting. News the next morning June 13th.
This is news which will be quickly discounted. Now a comment about this chart. It doesn't really scream at you to be considering the upside.

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