Featured

Deere Trading Sideways On October 1st 2024 - Few People Trade These Ones

The stakes are huge. Is Deere slipping? Here is it's five day chart. Could Deere slip to $412.00 on the opening? If it did, could it slip further? The chart looks to me like it wants to open lower. Could you grab some Call options on a weak opening and try to play it for a rebound? Does history repeat itself? Here are how the 417.50 series of Calls traded yesterday on Oct 1st. Can you see how they dipped on the opening and came charging back up? That's the kind of action option traders like to see. Look at how few contracts trade on a daily basis. Clearly trading Deere options is like skating on thin ice. To add some sort of prespective on todays action here is how the indexes traded today. Shown above was Deere's five day chart. Here now is a look at how Deere traded traded today. After a nervous start it showed some strenght in the early afternoon. Now a premarket look at Deere on Wednesday October 2nd. Look at these four stocks and look at the premarket bids and ask
Post a Comment

What is Triple Witching And Last Week's Action

It happens four times a year and it's going to happen on June 21st. It's a market reset. Do your your own research on what it is. Just stay away from trying to play one and two day options on the 19th or 20th later this week.
Look at how Tesla traded this week.
Tesla was up .53 cents on the week however it was up $14.00 in one day midweek! Now Boeing, it was down $12.97 on the week.
Now look at Caterpillar on the week. There was no news to explain why it was trading like this.
At the very same time Deere decided to rebound. Are wheat prices going up?
Nvidia this week topped the $3 trillion market value level for the first time. This stock keeps going up.
Eli Lilly also keeps going up.
Volatility like this should attract option traders however catching just the right situation is near impossible. If you have the energy watch the Tesla conference call that happened last week. Find it on Youtube. Elon Musk is telling the world that autonomous driving is just around the corner. That would be exciting. What ever happened to the "Summer Doldrums? The markets are not drifting sideways. It's difficult to keep up with all the action and some option traders are now opting to shy away from trading short term options. The triple witching thing and market "reset" thing. This could be a disappointing week for traders holding "near-to-the-money" options. To be continued.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slighty out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-mas
Read more

The Crazy Last Day of Option Trading In Tesla.

Image
First, look at it's five day chart. Big jumps everyday. If you try and jump in and play the downside everyday you will quickly get beat up. Here for example is one look at the Tesla 235 Puts on Wednesday at 9:34 a.m., only then to check out the same Puts a few minutes later at 10:15 a.m. How do you know what to do? Well you don't fight stocks running up over $8.00 in the first thirteen minutes of trading. Now here is how these Puts were trading at 12:59 p.m. The game is to sell the Puts when the stock is rising and then cover them to be out of the markets at a profit by the end of the day. It's not the small fish playing this game. Now today is Thursday July 4th and the markets are closed. Tomorrow is Friday July 5th.These Put options will be expiring at tomorrow at 3:00 p.m. If Telsa opens down two or three dollars on the opening there is the potential for a small reaction. They will still however be extremely "out-of-the-money". They might jump a touch i
Read more

Deere Lays Off /Tesla / Eli Lilly/ Home Depot/ Nio

Image
It was announced today, a Tuesday that Deere is going to lay off some of it's workers. Perhaps that news was leaked out last Friday and that's why it could have sold off last Friday afternoon. The stock basically has done nothing over the last three years but some traders love it for it's thirty day swings. I have talked about Deere before. The markets were accepting of this news. In other news Tesla Call option traders are rejoicing. Image getting in two trading sessions ago at $196.00 to watching it shot up to over $230.00? This was (it's up in the premarkets again) the Telsa trading opportunity of the year! Then there is upside movement in Eli Lilly. But then there is this background news. Now this. Talk of a hurricane. Will Home Depot go up? Then there is Nio. It's shares trade huge volumes and the stock has a wide following. Might it trade back up to $6.00? It's down almost half price on the year. One of the problems in trying to anticipate what m
Read more