Featured

The Topic of Tesla Jumping On A Friday Morning

Why am I often talking about playing Tesla options with one day of trading life remaining in them. Well the Call and Put options on this stock hava a recent a history of pleasing it's followers. What are the odds of sizeable jumps happening? I would suggest more often than you think. Jumps in the first hour of trading can be large. That' a given. Are you able to make money trading these hot potatoes? Yes and no. The concepts of fear and greed come into play. Here is how it jumped in price on Friday morning June 26th . First it opened lower. The time to buy in was in the very first minute of trading. It topped out at 11:30 a.m. That was a huge increase in price. Then between 11:30 a.m. and 3:00 p.m. it lost $7.00. Here is a better look at this action. . . Other stocks may also have interesting Friday trading patterns." Last Day Option Trading" is not for everyone.
Post a Comment

Roku And It's 2nd Quarter Earning Report

Let's start with the time period of Thursday morning with an earning's report coming out after the closing bell. Look at how crazy expensive these three series of Call options are. They are the Roku "out-of-the-money" Call options that expire tomorrow. The volume in them is not all that crazy but if I owned the stock I would be tempted to sell the Calls against my position and hope they would expire worthless. Tomorrow is Friday August 2nd.
......
.......
Why pay so much? Why pay $4.05 for a Call with a striking price of "58" with one trading day to go in the contract? The stock would have to jump four dollars just to get your money back? Talk about stupid? Yet then again Netflix, a company also in a similiar space sometimes moves like ten dollars in one day. Here now is a look at what happened by showing tomorrow's five day chart.
Down $2.19 on the day to $53.14 with the DJIA down over 600 points.
Say goodbye to those Calls if you ever bought in. Now let's look at it's year-to-date chart.
Can you see how it dropped about $35.00 quickly on the release of it's first quarter's earnings? That's part of the reason why these Calls were so expensive. On good news it could have really popped. So what were it's second quarter earnings actually like?
It's still reporting losing money per share however their guidance is starting to look more promising. Having the markets drop over 600 points on the day (it was down even more than at one point during the day) really squashed any upside potential. The game never ends. Here now is how next weeks 53, 54 and 55 series of Calls are trading.
Pick you battle. How did things turn out four days later in a crummy market? Not good. Look at these same options. People however are now waking up to the fact that the quarterly earnings report was not all that bad. Trading options is never a walk in the park. There is still time for these Calls to suprise.
...
...

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Waiting For A Drop On The Opening On Bad News - Eli Lilly

Image
Here is the bad news. The company is Eli Lilly. How bad is this news? Well look at it trading in the premarkets. So what do I think? I think the news is a setback of sorts, but not really all that bad. The stock is going to open lower, that's a given. It's like trying to play Boeing after an announcement that an airplane has crashed. So the stock is going to crash and it might have a small rebound and then it's going to slide down some more. A test of sorts will happen sometime in the afternoon. It might stock falling but then where will it go from there? The best case scenario is a recognition that investors got it all wrong and the stock ends up flat on the day. Yet there might be more of a downward dumping of the stock on the close followed by a selloff on tomorrows opening. Should option players be jumping in to play the upside on next week's Calls? That is the question. Here is a look at Boeing on the days after a crash. Day two after the crash was equally as ...
Read more

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more

News on Polestar , Lucid (Trading After A Reverse Stock Split) Plus Ford News And Vinfast

Image
Look at the one year chart on Polester. Now it's one month chart. What's going on? It's confusing. It was down $.36 cents on the week. If you want you can spend $.20 or $.25 on Puts and hope that the company goes under in the next five or six months. They recently raised more money by releasing more shares so it's running out of options. You can't run at a loss forever and this news will most likely scare off potential new car buyers. This actually is a low number of outstanding Put options. The consensus seems to be that it is not game over yet. Lucid started trading this week on a "one-for-ten" reverse stock split. Here is its one week chart. It was down $1.39 on the week. It's also going to struggle. Both of these stocks have challenges ahead. On a more positive note here is a chart that looks kind of perky. Ford on the week. The stock was down $.03 cents on the week and it was the 3th highest in share volume trading on the NYSE. It appears...
Read more