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An Amazing Look At What Happened to Options On Tesla With Two Days To Go

First it's five day chart going into a Thursday. It closed at $438.97 on the previous day. The 440 Calls going into the opening closed the previous day at $14.30 and the offsetting Puts with the same price closed the previous day at $15.37. ...... So the $14.30 for the Calls means $1,430.00 U.S. dollars which equals about $2,000 Canadian. Just to break even the stock would have to close at $454.30 which is a sizeable jump upwards. In theory it could as we know from a past blog that on two of the last three Fridays Tesla has had an interday price swing of over $30.00 dollars. Let's watch it and see what happens. So really the "small fish" meaning the little guys like us can't be sloshing money around like on such "pressure cooking" situations. But wait. It's the swings that one should be watching and opportunities do present themselves. Here is how both the Calls and the Puts traded and closed the day. ....... How did this all happen? Well here i...
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Roku And It's 2nd Quarter Earning Report

Let's start with the time period of Thursday morning with an earning's report coming out after the closing bell. Look at how crazy expensive these three series of Call options are. They are the Roku "out-of-the-money" Call options that expire tomorrow. The volume in them is not all that crazy but if I owned the stock I would be tempted to sell the Calls against my position and hope they would expire worthless. Tomorrow is Friday August 2nd.
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Why pay so much? Why pay $4.05 for a Call with a striking price of "58" with one trading day to go in the contract? The stock would have to jump four dollars just to get your money back? Talk about stupid? Yet then again Netflix, a company also in a similiar space sometimes moves like ten dollars in one day. Here now is a look at what happened by showing tomorrow's five day chart.
Down $2.19 on the day to $53.14 with the DJIA down over 600 points.
Say goodbye to those Calls if you ever bought in. Now let's look at it's year-to-date chart.
Can you see how it dropped about $35.00 quickly on the release of it's first quarter's earnings? That's part of the reason why these Calls were so expensive. On good news it could have really popped. So what were it's second quarter earnings actually like?
It's still reporting losing money per share however their guidance is starting to look more promising. Having the markets drop over 600 points on the day (it was down even more than at one point during the day) really squashed any upside potential. The game never ends. Here now is how next weeks 53, 54 and 55 series of Calls are trading.
Pick you battle. How did things turn out four days later in a crummy market? Not good. Look at these same options. People however are now waking up to the fact that the quarterly earnings report was not all that bad. Trading options is never a walk in the park. There is still time for these Calls to suprise.
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