Featured

McDonalds Again And A Follow Up To Yesterday's Blog..

Some option traders on Friday mornings just want to be in and out in the first hour or so of trading on short term options they feel comfortable trading. In the second half of the day most of the action calms down. Take your winnings and run. McDonalds sold off a little bit yesterday afternoon and firmed up a bit towards the closing. Could this "mostly downtrend" continue? Here is a partial look at the opening bell's action, today a Friday however let us first look at how the stock traded yesterday. Now a look at it's trading pattern at 9:32.22 a.m. Now this, McDonald's jumps up $4.98 and the 317.50 Puts we followed yesterday which are now "out-of-the-money" acted accordingly. During the fist 2.22 minutes of trading they traded down to 34 dollars a contract. Now this. In the first three minutes of trading the stock jumped a bit and started to come off a touch. These Call options where not attacting all that much attention. The bid and ask jumped up ...
Post a Comment

Buying A Hot Potato - A One Day Look At Tesla Friday Options

First. Get into an option position just before the close of trading on a Thursday afternoon. This time the stock under consideration is Tesla. Will there be anything to learn from reading this? Probably not because the outcome of a situation like this will be different everytime. Find my last blog about how the Puts on Tesla traded last Friday. It was one of the most memorable trading experiences of the year. Let's quickly set the stage for today's action. First a look at one series of Telsa's Puts which expire tomorrow which will be Sept. 13th. Once again, this is a look at Thursday's full day of trading action in the 230 series of Puts. .
Now look at the Calls.
Now the five day chart.
Look at how the two open interest numbers are only like one-tenth of the daily number of options traded in each series. Traders don't want to be holding these positions overnight. Notice also how the open interest in the Puts is greater than in the Calls. What's that all about? One of the reasons might be that Put holders were amply rewarded on yesterdays opening. They now have profits to play with. See the above chart to verify that. Now lets check out out the action a few minutes after Fridays opening bell. Now a look at a two charts of the first five minutes of trading. This is interesting. First, the first five minutes of trading chart.
Now the five day chart.
Look at how quickly all of this action happened. Six minutes to be precise.
Puts that closed at $250.00 went as high as $453.00 on a suprise opening dip. What's going to happen next? There are endless variations of what might happen. If you look at the one day chart below you will also see that there was a second chance to buy back into the Calls around 10:30 a.m. and play them until 11:30 a.m. which becomes a game of "get-in-and-get-out". This is the type of action many daytraders are attracted to. The liquidity is excellent. Here are the end of the day results.
The stock really ended up doing nothing all day. Here is how the Calls and Puts closed on the day.
Our initial look at what the Calls were trading at were trading at (the 9:36 a.m. time period) was very close to the top of the range for that day. It was the same story for the Puts.
Once the glitter of the first five minutes of trading was over the rest of the days action in both the Calls and Puts was contained. Every Friday is different for Tesla options.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Living on Kraft Dinner?

Image
What does the word disconnect mean? As a verb it means "to sever or interrupt the connection of or between; detach". Option trading - one day options - is a disconnect from the world. What happens to slightly "out-of-the-money" Call options on Costco when the stock shoot up thirty dollars on the day? I will show you what happened on Friday to Costco Calls and the options on a few other stocks I frequently watch. What a disconnect from the real world. But before that a look at how the indexes traded. 1) Costco. It's five day chart and a look at how three of it's option series moved upwards in one day. You may not know how to read these printouts but try to read the highs and lows on these option pricings. One printout shows an "at-the-money" option which means you are buying a contract on the stock, good for one day only at a locked in price equal to (or very close to) what the stock is currently trading at. The other two contracts shown are ...
Read more

The Little Engine That Could

Image
Walmart again. It's all I seem to blog about. Here is it's five day chart. The stock keeps going up and the option series are set up in one dollar spreads. Even a fifty cent move on the stock moves the needle on these Calls. Look at how this series of Calls was trading yesterday at 3:00 p.m.. Now here is this same series of Calls just before noon today. Thirty days of upward action like this punctuated by the off day of decline. Now notice the higher volume of trading in the series of Calls with the higher striking price. These are the ones's with more leverage. At the same time look at the five day chart on Costco. The two stocks sometimes trade in tandem. Humpty dumpty sat on a wall .... a had a great fall. Someday soon a fall might happen but what a great ride it has been.
Read more

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slighty out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-mas...
Read more