Featured

Another Blog On "Vinfast"

There is so much to read about this companies history online. Do your own homework. Their success is not dependent on what ends up happening with their sales in North America. They are nimble. There are plenty of auto factories all over the world now for sale they can acquire. They have dabbled in Australia. Having access to money to keep going doesn't seem to be their problem. Rivian also seems to enjoy this advantage. Vinfast is currently building a new plant in India which could employ thousands of people. That's an emerging new market. New relationships are being built and new investors will be coming onboard. Are option players looking at this stock? Not really if we look at these "one-month-out" Calls. What about Calls further out? What about next January? Here is a look at the three and four series of Calls. Nobody seems willing to bet Vinfast Calls. Now this. Here are two snippets taken from a blog I wrote about this stock back in early December of 2024. ...

Deere Again. Tesla's Call Are More Exciting To Watch But Deere Calls Are Also Somewhat Interesting

Seasoned option traders are a clever breed. Why? Well they know how to avoid traps meaning they know how to stay away from dangerous situations. Look at this current situation. Deere got clobbered today, Thursday October 3th. Down $7.80 on the day. Look at this.
What does this show? It shows the closing price of $3.30 that this series of slightly "in-the-money" Calls traded at, and it shows the number of contracts traded today on the day. Only eight. Once again, these are "in-the-money" Call options that expire tomorrow. Now this. A look at how these same Call options traded the next day, a Friday. Wouldn't you think that there might be some kind of a rebound after a stock dropped this much in one day?
The high on the day for these Calls was $3.50 a contract, an increase of only twenty cents from the previous day. My point once again is that option traders are a special breed who stayed away and resisted the impluse of trying to recapture some of the $7.80 that Deere lost on the previous day. Now a thirty day look at how Deere has traded. Up over $30.00 or one dollar a day!
Is Deere still in an uptrend? The drop of over $7.00 in one day on no news is a bit disconcerning. In previous blogs I have mentioned how playing 30 days Calls on Deere is the way to go. Now look at this "year-to-date" chart on Deere.
Are option traders who play Deere on a regular basis focused instead on purchasing next weeks Call options with the same striking price, or the Call options two weeks out? Here are the answers to those two questions.
Once again, few option traders find value with trading Deere options. Contrast this to the volume of trading on Friday on Tesla Calls about ten dollars "out-of-the-money".
They closed on Thursday at five dollars a contract and and hit an inner day high on Friday of two hundred and seven dollars a contract. Here is it's five day chart and look at the bounce it had on Friday morning.
Think of the stories that some traders would have on this kind of action. Who would have the guts to be holding one day Call options ten dollars "out-of-the-money" on Tesla on Thursday's closing market? Just by coincidence the caption on the front page of Barron's Oct. 7th states "Tesla's Turning Point". "Robotaxi Day" is happening later this week. Tesla options vs Deere options. You decide. Both are playable.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Living on Kraft Dinner?

The Little Engine That Could

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?