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"Tony The Tiger" - A Food Stock

The mood of Wall Street is now changing as the reality of tariffs is starting to kick in. Two weeks ago not so much so. Kelloggs had "so-so" earnings come out a few weeks ago and the stock exploded upwards. Note the very last line above mentions the effects of tariffs are not taken into consideration. So many stocks with "so-so" earning reports have jumped in price based on the "lets make America great again" slogan. Deere stock is shooting to the moon as I keep writing about in spite of declining sales in the last quarter. The sentiment seems to be that they are immune to tariffs. On paper they might be. Read this. Americans are struggling to buy gas, eggs and insurance. Total housing starts in the U.S.in 2024 were down 3.9%. Walmart, the recent darling stock in the last four weeks for Call option players woke up this morning with an earnings report which was healthy but with came with some caveats. Here is what happened. Perhaps the U.S. is starting ...

G.M. and Tesla. Both Surprised. So Did Ford.

G.M. is pumping out vehicles and people seem to be buying them! Against that backdrop is that they are losing market share in China.
Falling interest rates should help car sales. Does that mean that the Ford stock will also jump? They report October 28th. Look at it's 30 day chart and year to date chart.
They have a history of earning suprises with some being not so good. Here is how the 11 series of Calls traded on Ford on Friday Oct.26th on next weeks 11 series of Call options.
As these prices the stock would have to jump 40 cents on the week to make these Calls think about coming to life.Here is what happened.
Now there is Tesla which reported their earnings after the markets closed on Wednesday Oct 23th. Here is how it traded on that day just prior to earnings report. The open interest numbers were quite low as sometimes we see like 150,000 contracts trade in one one series in one day.
So the 212.50 series of Calls closed at $9.28. Now look at this chart and the closing price one day later.
Now look at the $212.50 Calls today. Up 418%
This kind of a spike doesn't happen very often. It was the trade of the week. Do I like paying earning report using options on automotive companies? Yes, the action is usually short and swift.

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