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Trying to Outguess The Markets

A few years back the markets crashed when Russia invaded Ukraine. The front pages of newspapers around the world at that time showed people trying to escape cities which were heavily shelled. Our heart's sank. How could such atrocities be happening? Why were schools and hospitals targeted? War is evil. Guess what? With Trump acting as a new dictator the world once again has gone awry. It's scary that one old man with so much power can abuse the system. What does all of this mean for option traders? It means time to sit on the sidelines. Yes you can jump in playing rebounds and catch some nice short term directional moves. You are basically trading against computers. Why not just sit it out and chill? Everything is amuck. Why be trying to make hero trades? Ironically enough some traders are being drawn into this action. Look at this chart. While its difficult to see because of a "pop-up" on the screen "Netflix rebounded over ten dollars a share after reboundin...
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Rivian Again.

In two previous blogs I talked about V.W. giving them money to then watch the stock flutter up and come right back down again. They are still losing money. Here was todays action. First two different pieces of news which I didn't see until late morning.
Now here is how it traded back on Nov. 21 st on the V.W.news.
Now here is how it traded this morning. This five day chart shows a spike up this morning at 10:28 a.m.
What did the ten series of Calls do, the ones that expire this friday? Well seven minutes into the market they were up 88%.
Now additional details. A government loan to help build a new plant.
How did the ten series of Calls close out the day?
The Calls were up 288%. Final thoughts. It helped the DJIA was up 440 points on the day. Rivian gained last week .18 cents. Had you bought one week Calls on it last Monday you would have got smoked. Imagine purchasing the 10.5 series of Puts on Rivian this morning that expire this Friday thinking the stock would sell off by the end of the day?
Now this. The three year Rivian chart. Maybe one year Call options on it are something to consider.
Now look at this. The "one-year-out" Call options. They were up 76% in price in one day. Long term options are not supposed to do that.
So much is now in play.

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