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Trying to Outguess The Markets

A few years back the markets crashed when Russia invaded Ukraine. The front pages of newspapers around the world at that time showed people trying to escape cities which were heavily shelled. Our heart's sank. How could such atrocities be happening? Why were schools and hospitals targeted? War is evil. Guess what? With Trump acting as a new dictator the world once again has gone awry. It's scary that one old man with so much power can abuse the system. What does all of this mean for option traders? It means time to sit on the sidelines. Yes you can jump in playing rebounds and catch some nice short term directional moves. You are basically trading against computers. Why not just sit it out and chill? Everything is amuck. Why be trying to make hero trades? Ironically enough some traders are being drawn into this action. Look at this chart. While its difficult to see because of a "pop-up" on the screen "Netflix rebounded over ten dollars a share after reboundin...
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The Markets Never Stop. The Stock Lowes And Forward Looking Thinking.

An earning's report came out and some of the reason's the stock dropped made sense. Let me tell you what happened and why. Lowe's sold off in price over $12.00 in one day on an earnings report. How bad was the report? Well that is something that is debatable. Some people would say that past sales are not a good indication as to what might happen next.
Not many option traders attempted to trade in it. Some traders derive more pleasure in playing the rebounds after these types of announcements come out.
Here is what their C.E.O said. It is her job to try to put was a positive spin on things. Every word she uttered was well rehearsed.
Lowes and Home Depot are always difficult to play because their stories can be spun in so many different ways. On a different note, the Put options five dollars "out-of-the-money", which were the 265 series of Puts were a cheaper and a more profitable way to play this action than the 270 Puts. Yet then again, if the stock only dropped five dollars then that wouldn't be the case.
When you see something that say $6.30 up $3.96 that means the Puts ended the previous day at $2.34. Learn to pick your battles. Lowes came back a bit the following morning. Home Depot did not as that stock might have dropped in sympathy.
Now this. The market never stops. Lowes on the following morning was trying to shake off it's earning report. Florida still needs to be cleaned up.
Let's see if these Calls will have some strenght. Here they are on Friday morning, the day they expire.
This is an example of playing short term rebounds.

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