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"Tony The Tiger" - A Food Stock

The mood of Wall Street is now changing as the reality of tariffs is starting to kick in. Two weeks ago not so much so. Kelloggs had "so-so" earnings come out a few weeks ago and the stock exploded upwards. Note the very last line above mentions the effects of tariffs are not taken into consideration. So many stocks with "so-so" earning reports have jumped in price based on the "lets make America great again" slogan. Deere stock is shooting to the moon as I keep writing about in spite of declining sales in the last quarter. The sentiment seems to be that they are immune to tariffs. On paper they might be. Read this. Americans are struggling to buy gas, eggs and insurance. Total housing starts in the U.S.in 2024 were down 3.9%. Walmart, the recent darling stock in the last four weeks for Call option players woke up this morning with an earnings report which was healthy but with came with some caveats. Here is what happened. Perhaps the U.S. is starting ...
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Deere. One Issue With Thinly Traded Call Options On Stocks In The $450.00 Price Range That Expire in Four Days

It's chart. It's Tuesday morning and the stock Deere has being going sideways for a few trading sessions.
Let's now focus on the "bid and ask". Look at the spread and think back to the "bid-and-ask" on the stock Walmart I wrote about yesterday. The spread (the "bid and ask") on options on Walmart yesterday was like two pennies ( "bid $1.04-ask $1.06") at 10:09 a.m. which can be a very turbulent period of time.
It's late in the morning trading session well past the first hour of morning jitters. If you want to buy in on Deere Calls what would you be willing offer? $3.50.? That's only a guess. If you want to sell what would be the suggested selling price? This wide spread (a spread of $3.26 dollars) is a total turnoff. Now this. A look at the trading action near the end of the day on this same options postion. Here are it's one day and five day charts. The markets are off and the stock Deere now is up.
Now the same 440 series of Deere Call options at 3:49:00 p.m.
One final conclusion which can only be verified by repeated observations. We are afterall not not privy to how logarithms work. When you see the spread on Call options increase to preposterous proportions on stocks in the $450.00 price range with four days left to go before expiring you can be assured that there is some kind of action happening in the background causing a push to go up.

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