Featured

Another Blog On "Vinfast"

There is so much to read about this companies history online. Do your own homework. Their success is not dependent on what ends up happening with their sales in North America. They are nimble. There are plenty of auto factories all over the world now for sale they can acquire. They have dabbled in Australia. Having access to money to keep going doesn't seem to be their problem. Rivian also seems to enjoy this advantage. Vinfast is currently building a new plant in India which could employ thousands of people. That's an emerging new market. New relationships are being built and new investors will be coming onboard. Are option players looking at this stock? Not really if we look at these "one-month-out" Calls. What about Calls further out? What about next January? Here is a look at the three and four series of Calls. Nobody seems willing to bet Vinfast Calls. Now this. Here are two snippets taken from a blog I wrote about this stock back in early December of 2024. ...
Post a Comment

Snowflake and Charts

What the heck do I know about Snowflake? Not much. I know it's symbol. I have Snowflake and First Solar Inc. next to each other on one of the screens I watch and all I know is that their options are volatile. Today is Wednesday Dec 11th.
.....
If the stock was worth $185.00 two days ago why is it only worth $171.00 today? Should I scurry around looking for recent news to help figure out why it is down? At ten a.m. this morning the stock is relatively flat. What does that tell me? It tells me that traders are reassessing the causes of the damage that was done. At the same time I am mystified by the recent spikes in Boeing, Tesla and Rivian. Yet than again there are plausable reasons why those stocks are going up. Rivian is getting money, Tesla has a million things happening.... Which brings me back to Snowflake and First Solar Inc. Their stories don't get quite the same amount of attention. Here is how the 172.50 Calls are trading at 10:05 a.m.
Times change.
It is now 10:33 a.m. and look at those same options.
Ten a.m. on Wednesday morning are good times to be looking for stuff like this. A 12:24 p.m. update.
Picking a time to get out is the difficult part. Now nine minutes later.
What ended up happening on the day? First the one day chart.
Now for this suprise.
There was lots of warning in the mid afternoon that things were starting to change. Wednesdays are great days in the week for action like this. ** How did First Solar trade?
It's five day chart is kind of a flip of a coin.
These Calls are actually pretty cheap given that they are "in-the-money". Here now is it's one day chart.
My thoughts as I have said before is that buying Calls on a Thursday morning that expire the next day is a bit of a trap. Time value quickly can work against you. Wednesday options do not seem to have this worry.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Living on Kraft Dinner?

Image
What does the word disconnect mean? As a verb it means "to sever or interrupt the connection of or between; detach". Option trading - one day options - is a disconnect from the world. What happens to slightly "out-of-the-money" Call options on Costco when the stock shoot up thirty dollars on the day? I will show you what happened on Friday to Costco Calls and the options on a few other stocks I frequently watch. What a disconnect from the real world. But before that a look at how the indexes traded. 1) Costco. It's five day chart and a look at how three of it's option series moved upwards in one day. You may not know how to read these printouts but try to read the highs and lows on these option pricings. One printout shows an "at-the-money" option which means you are buying a contract on the stock, good for one day only at a locked in price equal to (or very close to) what the stock is currently trading at. The other two contracts shown are ...
Read more

The Little Engine That Could

Image
Walmart again. It's all I seem to blog about. Here is it's five day chart. The stock keeps going up and the option series are set up in one dollar spreads. Even a fifty cent move on the stock moves the needle on these Calls. Look at how this series of Calls was trading yesterday at 3:00 p.m.. Now here is this same series of Calls just before noon today. Thirty days of upward action like this punctuated by the off day of decline. Now notice the higher volume of trading in the series of Calls with the higher striking price. These are the ones's with more leverage. At the same time look at the five day chart on Costco. The two stocks sometimes trade in tandem. Humpty dumpty sat on a wall .... a had a great fall. Someday soon a fall might happen but what a great ride it has been.
Read more

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slighty out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-mas...
Read more