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"Tony The Tiger" - A Food Stock

The mood of Wall Street is now changing as the reality of tariffs is starting to kick in. Two weeks ago not so much so. Kelloggs had "so-so" earnings come out a few weeks ago and the stock exploded upwards. Note the very last line above mentions the effects of tariffs are not taken into consideration. So many stocks with "so-so" earning reports have jumped in price based on the "lets make America great again" slogan. Deere stock is shooting to the moon as I keep writing about in spite of declining sales in the last quarter. The sentiment seems to be that they are immune to tariffs. On paper they might be. Read this. Americans are struggling to buy gas, eggs and insurance. Total housing starts in the U.S.in 2024 were down 3.9%. Walmart, the recent darling stock in the last four weeks for Call option players woke up this morning with an earnings report which was healthy but with came with some caveats. Here is what happened. Perhaps the U.S. is starting ...
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Snowflake Part Two : Thursday Overnight Position Going Into The Final Day Of An Options Life Are Not My Cup Of Tea

The 172.50 series of options on this stock will expire tomorrrow. Today is a Thursday. The first printout shows a bit of a struggle on the opening in the first nine minutes of trading and a return to price it closed at in the previous session. (It did have a nice rally on the previous day then to only give it up). Could it rally again this morning? Now the second printout below the following paragraph shows the high volume of trading pouring into this series of Calls just after the opening.
These high volumes of trading shown below happened in the five minutes and twenty one seconds of the trading session. Traders bought in on a slight dip looking for a reversal. Good for them. Are these traders hoping to be out at a profit in the next fifteen or thirty minutes? Yes. Get in and get out. Catch a profit as the stock is deciding which way it will go. It's early in the morning trading session and the volume of trading is always the highest in the first and in the last hour of trading. What were the indexes doing? They were somewhat offside. If they were going down in a big way these Call options traders would be sitting on the sidelines.
Can you see these high volumes I am talking about? Contrast these option trading volumes to the stock First Solar I also mentioned in my last blog.
Now for some news. The party for these Call options is now over. The high of the day turned out to happened at exactly 9:39:00 a.m. Look at it's one day chart.
Are you able to see how at 9:58 a.m. these options have gone cold? Yes they still have one day to go before they expire but why not take a profit when it is there? Anyone buying in at 9:35:24 a.m. had a chance to get in at $1.25 and then to get out at prices up to the $1.98 mark per contract at 9:39:00 a.m. That turned into a four minute window of opportunity to take a profit. To much work and to much detail to keep track off you might say? Maybe, however that's what Thursday morning option trading is all about. It's the one day of the week not to let open positions whittle away. The tip off this time that this could happen was the high volume of Call options traded in the first five minutes of trading. Learn to take profits on one day to expiracy options when you see them. Now lets speed things up to the last five minutes of trading with a late in the day look at it's five-day trading chart. Now it's time to adapt a new strategy if you want a piece of the action. Look for a striking price closer to the stocks now current trading price, $2.50 cents lower to be exact. That's if you now want to play the stock for a morning bounce. Yet why would you? The risk is to great. Why hold an overnight postion like this? The stock could sell off two dollars on the opening.
I don't really like it's sideways moving action all day. To me it doesn't inspire a Friday morning bounce. Now look at the 170 Calls with five m inutes to go.
Here are these same options on the close. The last five minutes of trading were rough on them.

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