CAT Puts

Here is it's three month chart. Let's add some flavour. Let's pull up the details of a April 21st blog I wrote. 2,200 new stores being opened this year, up slightly from the year before. Even if same store sales are now off slightly isn't the projectory still upwards? Their business model still seems to be working. Now this, part of a May 1st 2025 blog. A razor thin adjustments to profits. That's what makes figuring out what is going to happen next so difficult. Now a look at how McDonalds traded on Feb. 6th, 2025. This was the morning after it's quarterly earnings report. Now a look at something more extreme. Let's now go back to a different reality three years ago. The McDonald's story is constantly in a state of evolution. The following snippet might help you realize the power of these quarterly earning reports. Sometimes they are stonger than expected. August 6th will be the date their next earnings report comes out. Here now is how McDonald...

First, the five day chart on Nvidia. Look at the volumes of option trading in these Calls and Puts at noon on Friday. These options expire today. Now here is how the DJIA is doing at 12:01 p.m. Look at the huge number of Call options traded this morning. With markets up and the DJIA down what would logic tell us to do? Buy the Puts. Look at these two Put printouts on Puts that expire today. Look at how cheap the "out-of-the-money" Puts are. Experienced option traders know that the risks in buying these is high, to high to take serious. What's more inticing are the "in-the-money" Puts. In this case they are the 167.50 Puts. Let's now look at it's current one day chart at 12:15 p.m. Had you looked at the 167.50 Puts around 10:40 a.m. they were half the price they are now. Sure it's all somewhat of a guessing game however I want to point out than with one day options the timing of inflection points, meaning stocks making reversals on the day usual...

It's a stupid market with stupid things happening. It's exhausting. Investors have to change out their investment strateties. Caterpillar and Deere had big gains this week and one week Call options on both of them went up in price 400 percent. In recent blogs I have talked about things like coming late to the party and making trades where you would make out like a bandit. Look at this mornings action in "Unusual Machines". I have talked about this stock before. Now this. A look at the Call options on "Unusual Machines" at 9:31 a.m. this morning after the stock jumped $1.57 on the opening. These Call options jumped 300% from their close on the previous day. Also look at the large open interest in these options. These Calls still have one week's life left in them. The question now is who would you be stupid enough to be throwing more money into this? Not me after all this that has happened. Now this. In forty four minutes the Calls that were already u...

1) Trumph had a spat with Musk back on the 1st of July. This is what happened to the stock's price. 2) This week Musk made some kind of statement about forming a new political party. That caused the stock to reacte. Now we find ourselves in a Wednesday going into a Thursday morning situation. I don't mind to hold onto overnight options on Tesla on a Wednesday night with only two days of trading life left in them. Look at the price of these Calls and these Puts. They are reasonable premiums to command. Five bucks on the upside ($500.00 U.S) gets you in and $4.00 ($400.00) on the downside gets you in. ........ So far so good? Can you understand the moment at hand? Something is going to happen on the opening. It's a seesaw ride. Telsa is going to decide to go up or down. Let me tell you why I think this a situation where the little guy can win. Here are the odds as I see them. This is an opportunity which favors the small guys over the house. Why? Well at 9:30 a.m. all hell...