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Recognizing An Oversold Situation On A Monday Morning

Moderna. Let's start with a doggy stock that has a large short position. Now it's opening chart showing both it's five day and morning chart. Here is some news the market is digesting. Isn't this just more news of the same? Now a look at the 28.5 series of Calls at 10:25 a.m.. Now at look at the action at 11:00 a.m. The stock is up 20 cents. It's not enough of a move to get out however the stock is moving in the right direction. Now at 12:11 p.m. there isn't to much new to report. ..... Now this. Now at 12:50 p.m. I would be thinking of watching it trade minute by minute. Now this. It can't get much better than this. I would just get out. The morning fear factor that was attractive on the opening is now long gone. The reasons to now be holding this position have changed. It's called Monday morning daytrading. Selling into strenght can be a remorseful experience but one that most usually is quickly forgotten. I will check back in on this pos...

Young People And Options

Let me spill out some information. Next-Generation Investors Are Different. An organization called "Finra" published this information. In a 2021 survey the Finra Investor Education Foundation found that 36% of respondents aged 18 t0 34 said they have traded options. That compares with 21% of respondents ages 35 to 54 and just 8% of respondents age 55 and older. Then there are crypto investors. According to something called a Pew Research survey based on Feb 2024 data, 42% of men aged 18-29 have invested in, traded, or used cryptocurrency compared with 17% of women in the same age range. Interestly, just 17% of all adults say they have invested in, traded, or used a cryptocurrency, according to the same 2024 survey. When it comes to buying on margin,in 2021, just under of a quarter, or 23%, of investors ages 18 to 34 said they have made purcheses on margin, compared with 12% of respondents aged 34 to 54 and 3% of respondents age 55 and older. Opening accounts is now easier and there's an explosion of new sources of information and social networks that can encourage risky behaviors. Let's not forget the recent frenzy of meme stock trading. Robinhood knows all this and works in this space.
Look at how it's stock has traded in the last one year.
My point is that young people are experimenting with option trading and the trend is only going to continue. Pick twenty or thirty stocks and just watch them for a few months. Write down turning points you see happening and check out how much at that point in time a Call or a Put costs on any series you pick. Then check back later to see if you were correct in making such a call. Option trading, unfortunately is very much a self taught process.

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